Key Planning Assumptions for US Illegal Invasion of Iraq

Ref -- The plans were "delusions" -- NSA Exec. Dir Blanton

Ref Open concerns about issues going into Iraq: Invalid arguments for "required" combat suggest invalid assumptions for planning.

Ref Source ( h/t ) Transcription of the US Government planning assumptions for Iraq.

Ref Use the GOP word: This isn't a retreat, it's a "recovery" Phase: Redeployment of US troops out of Iraq.

Ref CENTC0M CC: [paraphrasing] "Don't talk about reality, the possibilty of bad things. Especially when we lie about it. Just focus on imepachment, war crimes, and removing this President from office."

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Commentary Added here, not part of original

Secret/ORCON

Key Planning Assumptions -- Generates Start

This operation will be the national main effort -- Calling something a "main effort" doesn't mean it will be successful.

Opposition groups will work with us -- Is that IED to stay or to go?

Co-opted Iraqi units will occupy garrisons and not fight either US forces or other Iraqi units -- Ha! Civil war -- "can't happen"; insurgency, "Impossible"

Regional states will not challenge US military operations with conventional forces No, they'll lawfully expand economic assistance to other nations, and ignore the US.

DoS will promote creation of a broad-based, credible provisional government -- prior to D-day This is not an assumption, but a dream.

Continued freedom of navigation for shipping and naval forces through the Suez Canal / Straight of Hormuz / Norther Arabian Gulf Note, they didn't mention anything about what would be shipped; nor is there a guarantee that the "open" shipping lanes will have oil from Iraq.

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Original


Secret/ORCON

Key Planning Assumptions -- Generates Start

This operation will be the national main effort

Opposition groups will work with us

Co-opted Iraqi units will occupy garrisons and not fight either US forces or other Iraqi units

Regional states will not challenge US military operations with conventional forces

DoS will promote creation of a broad-based, credible provisional government -- prior to D-day

Continued freedom of navigation for shipping and naval forces through the Suez Canal / Straight of Hormuz / Norther Arabian Gulf